REDLINE || Tuesday, November 4, 2014

Published: Tue, 11/04/14

REDLINE
The Right Stuff In The Morning


Tuesday, November 4, 2014  

Good morning! In the news this Election Day: A Republican takeover of the Senate appears likely; the White House may have waited too long to rescue the ISIS hostages; a blow for Obama's housing discrimination policies; Ebola declines in Liberia but picks up in Sierra Leone; and Obamacare patients with high deductibles are being forced into lousy care.

Have a great day. And vote!

Keith

​Senate poised to go Republican . . . There's at least a seven in ten chance that Republicans will net the six seats the party needs to reclaim the Senate majority heading into the 114th Congress, according to the three major election models that aim to forecast the results of Tuesday's vote.

The Washington Post's Election Lab model casts the Republican takeover as a near certainty, giving it a 96 percent probability of happening.  Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight model says Republicans have a 73 percent chance at the majority, while LEO, the New York Times model, pegs it at 68 percent. 
 
YOUR CHEET SHEET: Republicans are likely to take Arkansas, Colorado, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia. McConnell is a near-certainty in Kentucky. Dems' chances look favorable in North Carolina and New Hampshire. The closest races to watch? Alaska, Georgia, Iowa, and Kansas. Washington Post

Remember, unless you think Mitt Romney is president, wait until the votes are counted before reaching any conclusions.

Did White House fatally delay hostage rescue? . . . As early as May, the Obama administration had strong and specific information about the location of American James Foley and other hostages held in Syria, a source close to the discussions told Fox News, but the rescue mission was not approved until early July. By then, the hostages had already been moved. Fox News.

Court rejects Obama housing bias rule . . . A federal judge on Monday threw out a housing regulation issued by President Barack Obama's administration that said racial bias claims can be based on seemingly neutral practices that may have a discriminatory effect. U.S. District Judge Richard Leon said the Fair Housing Act allows for only direct discrimination claims and not those based on so-called disparate impact allegations. Reuters

The latest effort by the Obama White House not only to mandate outcomes, but to punish those who fail to realize them.

White House role in Sherrod ouster revealed . . . A 2010 email from Agriculture Secretary Tom Vilsack says his department was "waiting for the go-ahead" from the White House before accepting the resignation of employee Shirley Sherrod, according to newly released documents, despite Obama administration assertions that her ouster was Vilsack's decision alone. Associated Press

What? A lie from the White House? Could it be?

White House: Voters hate Washington, not Obama . . . With many races still tight but polls showing a general trend in favor of Republicans, the White House on Monday blamed voter dissatisfaction with Washington for what could be an Election Day rout for President Barack Obama's Democrats. Reuters

Biden claims he never apologized to Turkey . . . Vice President Joe Biden says he never apologized to Turkey’s president for claiming last month that the country’s mistakes helped foreign fighters enter Syria, contradicting what the White House has said about the incident. Fox News
 
CDC hires Dr. Seuss to explain Ebola . . . In a surprise development, the Centers for Disease Control has enlisted Dr. Seuss to teach about Ebola. Given the conflicting statements that have come out of the administration about how Ebola can be transmitted, the CDC felt Dr. Seuss could provide some clarity. White House Dossier

Louisiana, Georgia could be in limbo for weeks . . . Louisiana would hold a run-off if necessary on Dec. 6, while Georgia would wait until Jan. 6, 2015 — three days after the new Congress is sworn in. Democrats would still face stiff odds in either runoff. Examiner

If these runoffs occur, and if they'll determine control of the Senate, the amount of money, and number of attorneys, and political operatives that will pour into these states will be stunning.

Wisconsin governor's race a dead heat . . . Republican Gov. Scott Walker ’s legacy of tax cuts and curbs on collective bargaining are on the line as voters head to the polls Tuesday in his race for re-election against Democrat Mary Burke. Polls in recent months showed the race as largely a dead heat although the closely-followed Marquette Law School poll in its final survey showed Mr. Walker opening a small lead. Wall Street Journal

Walker wants to run for president. He has to win this first. Or maybe not . . . Nixon lost in California before becoming president.

Shaheen sought scrutiny of Tea Party groups . . .  she was the point person in a group composed of six close Democratic colleagues including Chuck Schumer and Al Franken, who joined with Shaheen in quietly writing a letter to then-IRS commissioner Doug Shulman expressing their concern about new nonprofit groups engaging in political activity in 2012. Daily Caller

Harkin apologizes for Ernst remark . . . Sen. Tom Harkin said Monday that he shouldn’t have compared Joni Ernst to singer Taylor Swift and added that “in no way did I intend to offend” the Republican Senate hopeful. Politico

Democratic moneyman profits from giving . . . A high-dollar Democratic donor whose foundation spends tens of millions of dollars each year promoting green energy policies also runs a venture capital firm that invests in green energy companies that have benefited from those policies. Nathaniel Simons may take a 54-foot yacht to work every day, but his bona fides as an environmentalist donor are unimpeachable. Free Beacon

Feds monitoring votes in 18 states . . .  Staffers from the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division will monitor polling places in 28 jurisdictions in 18 states today, to make sure there's no attempt to prevent minorities, the disabled, the illiterate and non-English-speakers from voting. CNS News

Soros monitoring the races too . . . The George Soros-funded organization Common Cause is monitoring polling places in 16 different states with the help of a Washington-based civil rights lawyer group. Daily Caller

Seven unions top Koch in SuperPac spending . . . Seven labor unions have given more money to super PACs than the Koch Brothers. The National Education Association, the largest teachers union in the country, has spent more than $22 million on super PACs in the midterm elections, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. Free Beacon

Scarlett Johansson emails Keith Koffler . . . Scare tactics? Scarlett Johansson engaging in scare tactics? Republicans are going to “dismantle” a woman’s “right” to make her own healthcare decisions. How? By not forcing every employer to fund their employees’ unlimited premarital sex? White House Dossier

Ebola declines sharply in Liberia . . . The rate of new Ebola infections here has declined so sharply in recent weeks that even some of the busiest treatment facilities are now only half-full and officials are reassessing the scale of the response needed to quell the epidemic. Washington Post

Ebola spreading faster in Sierra Leone . . . A recent report by the Africa Governance Initiative has revealed that Ebola virus infections in Sierra Leone are spreading up to nine times faster than just two months ago. Breitbart

Obamacare patients turn to community care . . . When ObamaCare patients learn their deductible is so high they’re unlikely to get any reimbursement, they often wind up in places like the Denton, Texas Community Care Center. Fox News

​High deductibles - because what Obama forget to mention is that someone has to pay for Obamacare.

Americans back quarantine for health workers . . . Nearly 75 percent of Americans surveyed in a Reuters/Ipsos poll believe medics returning to the United States after treating people with Ebola should be quarantined, and 80 percent believe the healthcare workers' movements should be controlled. Reuters

Keith Koffler
Editor
White House Dossier
 
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